NEXT JAMES BOND ODDS UPDATE: James Norton’s chances improve, Oscar Isaac enters top 10!

VegasInsider.com has been monitoring odds data of more than 20 bookmakers, creating an average on who will be the next 007 in the upcoming James Bond movie.

A few weeks ago, Henry Cavill replaced Regé-Jean Page at the top of the 007 list, and he is currently still holding on to the first spot as the most likely to take over Daniel Craig’s role with odds of 61/24, implied probability 28.24%. “Cavill is everywhere right now – Enola Holmes 2, the recent announcement of season 3 of The Witcher… He is also set to star in the Matthew Vaughn spy thriller Argylle, which is supposed to come out in 2023. It will definitely be interesting to see how that will affect the odds in the upcoming months,” says a VegasInsider spokesperson.

In the latest update, James Norton moved past Regé-Jean Page as the second most likely 007 with odds of 57/14, implied probability: 19.72%. “Norton has been in the top 5 for the last few months, but this time around he finally cracked the top 3. It will be interesting to see how his position changes in the next few weeks,” says a VegasInsider spokesperson. Norton is currently filming the Nick Pearce drama, Men of Divorce.

Regé-Jean Page, Bridgerton breakout star, is not far behind in the third spot with odds of 23/5, implied probability 17.86%. “Page is still in a great position,” says a VegasInsider spokesperson. “He had his big breakthrough, yet he is a fresh face and young enough to be able to potentially commit to the role for a long time, which is what the producers want according to the latest reports.”

In spite of the reports that Idris Elba has dropped out of the running for the next Bond, his odds remain high with the bookies, still holding on firmly to the fourth place with odds of 89/12, implied probability: 11.88%. VegasInsider spokesperson comments: “The people really like Idris Elba, and lots of them expressed their frustrations on social media following the reports of him dropping out, which is probably why he is still so high on the list. Fans are not losing all of their hopes yet!”

Tom Hardy is in 5th place with odds of 15/2 (implied probability: 11.76%). “Hardy has maintained his position in the top 5 for a while, but he might move higher once his new projects are released – he has a few, “ comments a VegasInsider spokesperson. Hardy is set to star in Havoc, an action thriller which is supposed to be released this year, and the 3rd instalment of his hit Venom is in pre-production;

A VegasInsider spokesperson comments on the rest of the top 20 contenders: “The top 20 is going up and down. Some people that were out a few weeks ago are back in, we have some newcomers – Oscar Isaac, Luke Bracey – but it is important to watch these names because the producers don’t always go with the obvious choice. They like the element of shock. Daniel Craig also wasn’t the expected choice back in the day.”

See the full top 20 list below:


	12 October 2022			27 September 2022			12 September 2022
Ranking	Name	Fractional odds	Implied Probability	Name	Fractional odds	IP	Name	Fractional Odds	IP
1.	Henry Cavill (=)	61/24	28.24%	Henry Cavill (=)	69/28	28.87%	Henry Cavill	65/28	30.11%
2.	James Norton (+3)	57/14	19.72%	Rege-Jean Page (=)	55/14	20.29%	Rege-Jean Page	4/1	20%
3.	Rege-Jean Page (-1)	23/5	17.86%	Idris Elba (=)	33/7	17.50%	Idris Elba	9/2	18.18%
4.	Idris Elba (-1)	89/12	11.88%	Tom Hardy (=)	41/7	14.58%	Tom Hardy	85/14	14.14%
5.	Tom Hardy (-1)	15/2	11.76%	James Norton (=)	69/7	9.21%	James Norton	68/7	9.33%
6.	Aidan Turner (=)	25/3	10.71%	Aidan Turner (=)	80/7	8.05%	Aidan Turner	80/7	8.05%
7-8.	Oscar Isaac (NEW)	10	9.09%	Luke Evans (+19)	85/7	7.61%	Michael Fassbender	108/7	6.09%
7-8.	Jonathan Bailey (REENTRY)	10	9.09%	Callum Turner (+7)	82/5	5.75%	Jamie Dornan	47/3	6%
9.	Callum Turner (-1)	56/5	8.2%	Richard Madden (+1)	118/7	5.60%	Chiwetel Ejiofor	16/1	5.88%
10.	Jack Lowden (+6)	34/3	8.11%	Michael Fassbender (-3)	121/7	5.47%	Richard Madden	124/7	5.34%
11.	Richard Madden (-1)	35/3	7.89%	Jamie Dornan (-3)	35/2	5.41%	Cillian Murphy	134/7	4.96%
12.	Luke Evans (-5)	43/3	6.52%	Cillian Murphy (-1)	134/7	4.96%	Jamie Bell	141/7	4.73%
13.	Chiwetel Ejiofor (=)	87/5	5.43%	Chiwetel Ejiofor (-4)	20/1	4.76%	Tom Hopper	43/2	4.44%
14.	Michael Fassbender (-4)	109/6	5.22%	Jamie Bell (-2)	145/7	4.61%	Sam Heughan	153/7	4.37%
15.	Tom Hopper (=)	85/4	4.49%	Tom Hopper (-2)	43/2	4.44%	Jack Lowden	158/7	4.24%
16.	Cillian Murphy (-4)	67/3	4.29%	Jack Lowden (-1)	158/7	4.24%	Nikolaj Coster-Waldau	25/1	3.85%
17.	Jamie Bell (-3)	45/2	4.26%	Sam Heughan (-3)	23/1	4.17%	Callum Turner	131/5	3.68%
18.	Jamie Dornan (-7)	47/2	4.08%	Nikolaj Coster-Waldau (-2)	25/1	3.85%	Sope Dirisu	28/1	3.45%
19.	Luke Bracey (NEW)	25	3.85%	Lydia West (=)	33/1	2.94%	Lydia West	33/1	2.94%
20.	Sam Heughan (-3)	151/6	3.82%	Luke Pasqualino (=)	33/1	2.94%	Luke Pasqualino	33/1	2.94%
				TNia Miller (=)	33/1	2.94%	TNia Miller	33/1	2.94%
				Tahar Rahim (=)	33/1	2.94%	Tahar Rahim	33/1	2.94%
				Suranne Jones (=)	33/1	2.94%	Suranne Jones	33/1	2.94%
				Ben Hardy (=)	33/1	2.94%	Ben Hardy	33/1	2.94%

Disclaimer: The odds posted in this article are for illustrative purposes only. The data was based on betting markets offered by European operators in jurisdictions where wagering on these props is legal.

credit VegasInsider.com

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Al Mega

I'm Al Mega the CEO of Comic Crusaders, CEO of the Undercover Capes Podcast Network, CEO of Geekery Magazine & Owner of Splintered Press (coming soon). I'm a fan of comics, cartoons and old school video games. Make sure to check out our podcasts/vidcasts and more!